The 2014 FedEx Cup champion has long odds this week to the tune of +10000 to win. With that said, the below plays still offer great value in the placement betting market. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. All of that makes Scott a great long shot pick this week. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images). Still, it was a profitable week at the Honda and we move forward. Now its Rorys turn. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. Four of the previous five champions have won with scores around 21- to 22-under par. Robby Shelton finished T21 as a heartbreaker for our Top 20 bet but we were strong in hitting Shane Lowry as a Top 10 and Lowry over Sungjae Im in a matchup. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Designed by John Steidel, China Creek Golf Course measures 2627 Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Hes been rounding into that DNA form recently, improving his strokes gained with ball striking in each of the past three tournaments. You may not want to back the Merseysider in tournaments that will require you to score 20-under par, but this kind of set-up is right up his alley. Now were getting a little bold. WebThe Arnold Palmer Invitational is set to take place this week from March 2-5, 2023, at the Bay Hill Golf Course. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. The Twitter handle is a joke. With all the top PGA Tour stars teeing it up again this week, the betting favorites share a lot of similarities with the very top of the Official World Golf Ranking. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. After a lull last week with the Honda Classic, the heat picks up considerably for the next few weeks as we head to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmier Invitational followed by THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. He hit another 25-1 shotat the Houston Open, taking Tony Finau to win. Pick to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational (0.5 Units): Rory McIlroy (+950). As for Conners, hes been somewhat shockingly bad of late, most noticeably at Riviera where he lost four strokes tee-to-green, something he hasnt done since the Memorial in June of 2021. Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted. Hennessey: Keith Mitchell This is a bolder call, but I can afford to be a little bold after getting a win from Chris Kirk last week. Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL ODDS. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. by Mastercard. Gdula: Max Homa (20-1, FanDuel) I hate rooting against Max, but his odds are to the point where hes shorter than a lot of names Id rather take. But, crucially, it can be argued they are worse than Scott deserves based on his past performance. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? Hes played this event four times and has yet to make the cut. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. 1 Jon Rahm will continue their battle for the top spot. Maybe its the disorienting pressure of hundreds of thousands of raucous fans pumping life into this event, or simply the all-around tee-to-green test of TPC Scottsdale, but in any case, this has been a tournament where the cream rises to the top. Playing in the Presidents Cup last September may have helped Conners further acclimate to the crowd atmosphere in store this week. Something clearly clicked for him at Riviera, and this is the number to cash in on. Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 Its a coin flip to me who holds the belt at the end of the season, so Ill gladly take the plus money on the player with far better course history. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. A former two-time intern, he also helps keep GOLF.com humming outside the news-breaking stories and service content provided by our reporters and writers, and works with the tech team in the development of new products and innovative ways to deliver an engaging site to our audience. You read that correctly: Not only did he finish T4 last year, but he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020. Who has won the most US Masters titles? John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. The odds leap from there as Max Homa (+2000), Collin Morikawa (+2100) and Will Zalatoris (+2100) round out the top-six. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. With lateral natural desert hazards and water threatening throughout this course, players will need to be in complete control of their driver off the tee, while those with above-average driving distance have been able to set up more scoring opportunities with shorter clubs into this firm and fast greens. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Woods has never won at Riviera and enters the week at 150/1. There is no one way to attack TPC Scottsdale, however a profile of elite ball striking has been the common thread amongst contenders here over the years. Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted. He is up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of more than $2,000 for $100 bettors! Touts are lame. Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. We hate touts. Hes seen tangible improvements with the putter, gaining 21.07 strokes over his last 17 startscompared to losing 20.66 strokes in the 17 starts prior. Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. Speaking of patterns, how about the prices on Lowry lately? Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out! Before you lock in any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, make sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. As managing producer for GOLF.com, Cunningham edits, writes and publishes stories on GOLF.com, and manages the brands e-newsletters, which reach more than 1.4 million subscribers each month. Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. I love buying in on players that are coming off a week where they gained strokes in all four major categories, which is the exact type of well-rounded approach that is extremely necessary at a course like Bay Hill. Tee times in this area. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. Generally speaking, this is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance to contend. Genesis: Justin Thomas. In just his second year on TOUR, Pendrith has already accumulated 13 top-25 finishes, which span across comp courses like PGA National, Winged Foot and Torrey Pines. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. Lack: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) This matchup will be extremely fun to track, as I believe Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have emerged as far and away the two best players in the world. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? (Photo: Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via AP Images). Lack: Sungjae Im (33-1, BetMGM) This is a pure situational fade for me. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. The greatest party in golf is here this week as we continue our handicapping of 2023 WM Phoenix Open odds, AKA Wasted Management, AKA The Peoples Open at TPC Scottsdale. Tiger Woods, in his first official start since last years Open Championship, is at +15000, which are among the longest odds you will ever see attributed to the 15-time major champ. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. Now everybodys hopping off at 65-1? An impressive 44 of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Rankings are set to tee off at Bay Hill on Thursday. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. Keith Mitchell has grabbed two top fives in his last three starts. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. DFS Golf News. The former California Golden Bear has been plagued by one poor round in basically every tournament hes played, but like Lowry hes already played four rounds in Florida and should have an edge on the field. Wish it wouldve been his win at the Genesis but I still think he has win equity again this week and Im ready to burn him as a OaD play this week at Bay Hill. Even more concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the weekend at both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. Learn about the best sports betting sites. Compared to other top players, he has much less experience at Bay Hillplaying here just once, finishing T-49 in 2015. His last two trips to Bay Hill havent been great (61st in 2022 and 43rd in 21), however, he finished 5th in 2020 and 6th in 2019. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. Sony Open: Gary Woodland. Ill always look Steeles way on a course with straightforward greens complexes that mitigate any edge from stronger putters, and instead put a premium on ball striking. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Instead, McDonald is jumping on several severalunderdogs, including two MASSIVE longshots of well over 80-1! Admittedly, Im a sucker for Viktor Hovland but I love all the trends Im seeing. Hahn enters this week in the midst of an 8-event stretch in which hes gained strokes on approach. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. None of us trade notes before the week but weve all arrived at the same conclusion in regards to a particular Wake Forest Demon Deacon at an event with the most iconic Wake Forest alum in the tournament name. Theres been an interesting trend at the API over the past few years. Most of the games elite players opted out of the Honda, but they are back in a big way for the API. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. For the third straight week, one of our experts has cashed a winner, the latest being Christopher Powers, who tipped Chris Kirk at 30-1 to win the Honda Classic. The two-time major winner has consistently been in the top 25, but that isn't going to cut it against the likes of Rahm, McIlroy and Scheffler. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. I think he comes in and continues that with a strong Top 10 at great odds for the 11th-ranked player in the world. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? It seemed like the whole world was betting him at every turn. 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